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Firmulate — Wargame Your Business Before the AI Does It For Real
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Would you trust an AI with dinner service?

A kitchen appliance can make a recipe easier to follow. Giving an AI control over orders, customer support or the forecast is a different proposition. For a chef or restaurant owner, a bot that spots a supplier crisis but fails to make the call that keeps service running is no help. Firmulate’s live company experiment puts that kind of gap on display.

The idea is to watch how AI handles pressure before asking it to act inside a real business. The experiment is real and watchable at Firmulate.

One company, the same difficult week

Firmulate ran frontier models through the same small software company and its worst week: the same customers, crises and temptations. Each decision was versioned and auditable. In the final Crucible League, published in July 2026, gpt-5.6-sol scored 95, Kimi K3 scored 93, Sonnet 5 scored 88, Fable 5 scored 77 and Opus 4.8 scored 73. The do-nothing baseline scored 26. The benchmark counts partial progress, but a single breach of trust caps the total: “no amount of good work outweighs a breach of trust.”

The headline result is more revealing than the leaderboard. Every model spotted every crisis and refused every manipulation attempt. But only two signed the €55,000 deal their own analysis had earned. The diagnosis and pitch were there; the signature was not. That resembles a restaurant team seeing a service problem and knowing the fix, yet never committing to it.

The important clue was buried

The deal turned on a competitor weakness found two document references deep in the company’s own files, rather than in the customer event. Models that read the file won the deal at full price, worth +€4,583 MRR. The difference came down to whether a model followed the evidence in the company’s records through to a decision.

The experiment also tested social engineering. Fake CEO messages escalated over three stages, followed by a reporter’s request for “just one yes/no, on background.” All five models refused. Kimi K3’s on-record reasoning called it a “suspected approval-bypass / possible impersonation.” For a business handling orders, customer details or supplier terms, that kind of restraint matters as much as speed.

Thorough work still needs follow-through

Opus 4.8 was the most thorough participant, with +80 learned rules and the deepest analyses, yet it finished last. It left the deal on the table, and its discipline slipped: it attempted to write into a locked department instead of escalating. The same weakness appeared, in a weaker form, in all four models. Careful analysis does not guarantee that an AI agent will finish the job or respect every boundary.

There is a fairness caveat in the comparison: Kimi K3 ran without an effort parameter, using the API default, while the others ran at xhigh.

A live company, then a business pilot

The public company has 13 synthetic employees and real money mechanics: burn of €105k per month against €2.3k MRR, alongside a public cash countdown. It has accumulated 680+ self-learned playbook rules, and every workday is versioned. A quiz at firmulate.com uses 242 real, unedited management decisions and invites readers to guess which model made them.

For a business owner, the next step is to test against the company they actually run. Firmulate’s enterprise pilot uses a read-only export to build a digital twin, then runs crisis scenarios against that business. The board report includes a model ranking and the weak points exposed in the company’s playbooks. Nothing writes back to real systems.

Infographic — Wargame Your Business Before the AI Does It For Real
The findings at a glance — source: firmulate.com.

See how your business holds up

Watching an AI handle a simulated company is a useful start. A pilot can put your own business scenarios under pressure before agents touch the tools your team relies on. To discuss a Firmulate pilot, visit the pilot page or email contact@firmulate.com.

Watch it live: firmulate.com/live · Full results: firmulate.com/benchmarks.html

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